Naturally, this leads to a lengthy argument about who actually deserves credit for the success of a podcast where nobody seems particularly qualified to give gambling advice.

This week, the boys debate the NFL’s biggest contenders, defend their increasingly questionable betting strategies, and attempt to keep a Sure Things parlay winning streak alive. Somewhere along the way, a dead horse becomes a dead dog, Casey suffers through a hot pepper punishment, and Max delivers some surprisingly responsible gambling advice.

Plus, Caleb Williams vs. Josh Allen, the Vikings’ legitimacy, a $4 million YouTube golf tournament, and the competitive integrity of people who make a living playing golf on the internet.

Three blind mice. Three different definitions of success. One dead dog.

Welcome to Sure Things.

Tyson pays off his punishment in an edible candy bra before confessing to one of the most humiliating sports encounters imaginable: meeting Wisconsin Badgers legend Melvin Gordon and spending the entire conversation thinking he was Marvin Harrison Jr.

Casey has his own embarrassing story from storming the field at Camp Randall, and the guys debate whether Michigan vs. Ohio State is actually bigger than the World Series. Yes, someone seriously made that argument.

Then it's back to football. The guys unload on NFL officiating after a controversial Packers loss, question how much influence referees have on games, and make their Week 8 picks.

Max puts his theory to the test by choosing three games himself, Casey continues betting with absolutely no fear, and Tyson desperately tries to avoid another punishment.

This week's episode includes:

• Tyson's edible bra punishment and disastrous Melvin Gordon encounter
• Casey's Camp Randall wipeout
• The World Series vs. Michigan–Ohio State debate
• A full-blown rant about NFL officiating
• Week 8 NFL predictions, spreads, and over/unders
• The Sure Things and another unfortunate spin of the punishment wheel

Three guys. Questionable judgment. Unreasonable confidence.

Welcome to Sure Things.

For entertainment purposes only. Nothing about this show should be mistaken for responsible financial advice.

This week on Sure Things, Casey shows up wearing a brown paper bag after another rough week, Tyson explains how he managed to lose nearly $400 despite going 4-2 on his picks, and Max finds himself on trial after admitting he didn't actually bet the Sure Thing parlay as a parlay. Unbelievable behavior from a man who's 5-1 on his Sure Things.

The boys break down the Week 7 NFL slate, debate whether the NFL is scripted, and try to figure out if anyone actually knows what they're doing.

Plus, college football chaos, the Bryce Underwood situation at Michigan, way-too-early NBA championship predictions, and Max's increasingly personal hatred of Minnesota.

This week's Sure Things:

• Tyson: Browns -1.5
• Max: Broncos -4.5
• Casey: Steelers vs. Saints OVER 44.5

Three blind mice. One parlay. Absolutely unwarranted confidence.

Follow along, make your picks, and come back next week to find out which one of us has to answer for his decisions.

For entertainment purposes only. Gamble responsibly.

Tyson enters the week at the bottom of the standings, armed with an alarming number of moneyline underdogs and a plan to double down his way out of trouble. Max continues to trust the numbers, Casey defends his betting philosophy, and nobody seems particularly interested in learning from their mistakes.

This week, we're breaking down Steelers-Browns, Packers-Buccaneers, Chiefs-Raiders, Broncos-49ers, Lions-Panthers, and Falcons-Saints. We've got bold predictions, questionable logic, a few arguments, and three more Sure Things that absolutely cannot lose. Allegedly.

Three guys. Three different approaches. One shared belief that we know more than we actually do.

Sure Things is a weekly podcast about sports, predictions, gambling, and the dangerous confidence that comes with being wrong in public.

New episodes weekly. Follow along, make your own picks, and keep the receipts.

This week on Sure Things, the guys break down the Packers' struggles, debate whether Derrick Henry belongs among the five greatest running backs of all time, and watch Tyson nearly lose his mind over half a point on the betting line.

Casey puts his reputation on the line with a bold Giants moneyline pick, while Max reveals a forgotten $10 parlay that came one Justin Herbert touchdown away from paying $6,500.

Plus, the misery of betting the under, some completely unnecessary pickleball slander, and the official creation of the Wheel of Suck, where bad picks lead to even worse consequences.

Three friends. Questionable predictions. Unreasonable confidence.

Welcome to Sure Things.