After going 3-3 on NFL picks and 1-4 in college football last week, Eck recaps what went right, what went wrong, and some of the most interesting numbers coming out of Week 1 before locking in his favorite plays for Week 2.

This week’s early card:

• Jets +3.5 vs. Packers
• Broncos -2.5 vs. Jaguars
• Colts +6.5 @ Chiefs
• Plus two more best bets from the Week 2 slate

We also hit some fun stats, betting trends, and the matchups that caught our attention as Eck builds out the full five-pick card.

Adam’s + 1 — powered by The Deep Drop Back.

Football. Fantasy. Perspective. Community.

#NFL #NFLWeek2 #NFLPicks #SportsBetting #NFLBetting #AdamsPlus1 #EcksBestBets

After a wild opening week, Adam goes matchup by matchup through the entire Week 2 schedule, giving his straight-up winner for every NFL game.

Which Week 1 performances were real? Which teams bounce back? Which favorites are in trouble? And where could we see the biggest surprises of Week 2?

No skipping games. No hiding from the tough ones. Every matchup. Every pick.

Drop your Week 2 picks in the comments and let me know where I got it right — and where I’m completely off.

Subscribe for weekly NFL predictions, Top Ten Reactions on a Tuesday, Adam’s +1, and more from The Deep Drop Back.

#NFL #NFLWeek2 #NFLPredictions #Football

Adam counts down his 10 biggest takeaways from the opening week of the NFL season—from the return of under-center offense and the importance of explosive plays to the Year 2 quarterback watch, regression candidates, and a reminder that Josh Allen might simply be a cheat code.

Plus, are we already forgetting about the defending champs? What happened to the Chargers? And somehow, some way, the Chicago Bears dropped 59 points on the road.

And after the Top Ten, stick around for an Extra Point on Brian Flores and why sometimes the best response when your philosophy gets challenged is to double down on what you believe in.

10 reactions. One extra point. One week of NFL football.

Subscribe, join the community, and take the Deep Drop Back.

Adam’s +1 — Powered by The Deep Drop Back.

In this solo episode of Adam’s +1, Adam runs through the entire Week 1 NFL slate, picking every matchup straight up and breaking down the games that stand out most.

Then it’s time to zoom out. Adam gives his final season predictions for two teams he’ll be watching closer than anyone: the Chicago Bears and Cincinnati Bengals. What will their final records look like? Can they make a playoff run? And just how far can each team go?

Every game. Every pick. Bears. Bengals. Let’s talk ball.

Powered by The Deep Drop Back — subscribe, join the community, and take the Deep Drop Back.

After posting a 61% win rate on NFL bets and 60% on college football bets last season, Eck is taking things a step further. He breaks down the betting model he built and explains how he’ll use it throughout the season to help identify his strongest plays.

Then we put the model to work on the Week 1 slate:

Bears @ Panthers • Ravens @ Colts • Falcons @ Steelers • Cardinals @ Chargers • Cowboys @ Giants • Broncos @ Chiefs

Adam’s + 1 — Powered by The Deep Drop Back.

Andrew Eck joins Adam’s + 1 as Adam and Andrew predict all 14 NFL playoff teams, breaking down seeds 1–7 in both the AFC and NFC before handing out their picks for the league’s biggest awards.

Who takes home NFL MVP? Who offers the best betting value? They make their picks for Offensive and Defensive Player of the Year, Offensive and Defensive Rookie of the Year, and Coach of the Year.

Then it’s time to finish the bracket: AFC Championship. NFC Championship. Super Bowl matchup. Super Bowl champion. And Super Bowl MVP.

No hedging. No do-overs. The 2026 NFL season predictions are officially on the record.

In this episode, Kalenna outlines the common areas that we may face difficulty in setting boundaries and people pleasing. Kalenna provides advice on how to overcome these challenges.

Kalenna is a Certified Life Coach through IGC, an International Coaching Federation accredited program. If you or anyone you know is looking to make improvements to your mindset or confidence, you can reach out to her through the following link for a discovery call- https://paperbell.me/kalenna-kaske.

In this episode, Tyler discusses what led him to a career with Country Financial. Tyler also provides advice to consumers that are looking to gain coverage in multiple areas- home, auto, life, health.

This is a special edition episode, recorded in the gym while training chest day. During this episode we discuss Amin’s fitness journey, dealing with difficult circumstances, 75 Hard challenge, and the ongoing issues in the Middle East.

During this episode, Aaron provides his reaction to sweeping the series between conference rival, Boylan High School, for the first time in Belvidere North history. We also dive into several topics related to coaching high school athletes, Aaron’s coaching goals, and of course, (with a Cheesehead on the podcast), the Green Bay Packers.

Luke and Adam discussed various topics throughout the hour. See below for a few!

-Chicago Bears Off-Season

-Luke’s transition from college to workforce

-What does manhood mean?

-Adam’s motivation to start his own podcast

-Breakdown of Christopher Nolan’s “Dark Knight” Trilogy

Would you have gone for it on 4th down late in the 4th Quarter? Did the defense actually play well enough to win? And what really matters most as the Bears gear up for a massive matchup against Green Bay?

Plenty of hindsight, strategy talk, and playoff-level nerves as we preview Wild Card Weekend and set the table for what’s next.

After listening to the national media, local media, and even friends discuss their Top 5 quarterbacks in the NFL, something became clear to me…I disagreed with most of them. So, I asked myself, why not make my own?

This season, each week, I will be ranking the top 5 quarterbacks in the NFL based on their performance. One bad week may not play a top guy out of their spot, but if there are other quarterbacks consistently playing at a higher level week to week, then updates to the list will be made.

This episode covers the top 5 quarterbacks following Week 6 of the season. To be clear, this is not a lifetime achievement award, this is based on where they rank based on their play this season alone.

Recorded on the fly in Lev’s Jeep en route to pick up a Ferrari for content around the launch of Open Garage, this episode turns into a real-time conversation about entrepreneurship, momentum, and why anxiety and doubt hate a moving target.

I’m joined by Levon Galstyan — former Amazon product manager turned builder — who’s currently launching Patch, a pediatric therapy marketplace, and Open Garage, a platform connecting car enthusiasts through shared access and real-world experiences.

We dive into:

• Why taking action kills overthinking
• Building from first principles instead of following the default path
• The early-stage grind of launching something real
• Using momentum as your biggest advantage

This is raw, unplanned, and exactly what Adam’s +1 is about — conversations in motion, literally.

If you’ve ever felt stuck, this episode is your reminder: start moving.

Connect with Lev:

carebypatch.com

opengaragecarclub.com

businessnotebook.substack.com

In this episode, Tom reflects on his career in the trades. We discuss the pros and cons of working in a Union, along with addressing a few misconceptions that Tom has often come across.

To find out more info about becoming a union sheet metal worker in Northern Illinois visit: Smart265.org

To find out about sheet metal opportunities nationwide visit: Smart-Union.org

To find about all different union trades visit: NABTU.org

Adam recaps Drew’s run so far — 29–15 overall (66%) and +3.45 units last week — before the guys dive into their “Pick One” matchups. Drew breaks down Seahawks–Rams with full DVOA and EPA insight, and Adam makes his case for Chargers–Jags.

Then it’s “Drew to the Rescue,” where Adam hands over his Pick ’Em struggles and hopes Drew can save the day.

To close it out, Drew runs through his Top 5 NFL Bets for the week, including Texans +6, Giants +10.5, Cardinals +3, Raiders -3.5, and the Browns/Raiders Under — plus his Top 5 College Plays.

If you’re riding the heater with @SurgicalSharp, this is the episode.

Andrew kicks things off with a quick PSA explaining how NFL contracts actually work, breaking down common misconceptions around cap hits, guarantees, and deal structures during the chaos of free agency.

Adam and Andrew then debut a new segment inspired by The Mismatch: “Major, Minor, or Meh.” The two evaluate several free agent signings and decide whether each move is a major addition, a minor improvement, or one that leaves them unimpressed.

Free agent signings discussed include:

• Kenneth Walker to the Kansas City Chiefs • Malik Willis to the Miami Dolphins • Trey Hendrickson to the Baltimore Ravens • Mike Evans to the San Francisco 49ers • Jaycee Horn to the Carolina Panthers • Alec Pierce to the Indianapolis Colts • Riq Woolen to the Philadelphia Eagles • Travis Etienne to the New Orleans Saints • Romeo Doubs to the New England Patriots • Devin Bush to the Chicago Bears

The conversation also touches on Kyler Murray potentially landing with the Minnesota Vikings, and which teams’ offseason strategies have been the most interesting so far, including the Los Angeles Chargers, New Orleans Saints, and Washington Commanders.

This episode is powered by The Deep Drop Back — your home for smart NFL analysis, deep dives, and sharper football conversations.

Be sure to subscribe, join the community, and take the deep drop back… because football is better when we’re all learning.

The guys dive into the noise surrounding the young quarterback — from the film gurus’ takes to the chaos on Twitter/X. Luke explains how the initial wave of criticism shifted once the film dropped, and why Ben Johnson’s reaction inside Halas Hall suggests that while the results weren’t pretty, real progress is happening behind the scenes.

A grounded, honest look at where Caleb and the Bears truly stand after Week 8.

Then we ask the question Rams fans are already dreaming about: What week will Aaron Donald suit up for Los Angeles?

Finally, it’s division preview time. We break down the NFC East, NFC North, AFC North, AFC West, and AFC East—picking winners, identifying dark horses, and debating which teams are being overhyped.

This week, we kick things off with a challenge: if you had to bet on ONE dark horse team to win the Super Bowl today, who are you taking? We make our picks, defend them, and explain why these teams could crash the NFL's elite.

Then it's all NBA. We react to the 2026 NBA Draft, break down the biggest free agency storylines, and ask the question everyone seems to avoid: Does trading for superstars actually win championships anymore? Giannis continues to dominate the rumor mill, and we discuss what his future could look like and whether the league's "build a superteam" philosophy is finally running out of steam.

We wrap things up with one of the league's biggest debates: Should the Celtics seriously consider trading Jaylen Brown? It's a conversation that could reshape the NBA—and we aren't holding back.

🔥 In this episode:

• Our 2026 NFL Dark Horse Super Bowl Picks
• NBA Draft Winners & Losers
• Early NBA Free Agency Reactions
• Does the superstar trade formula still work?
• Giannis' future and the next domino
• Should Boston move Jaylen Brown?

If you love bold opinions, football, basketball, and debates that don't play it safe, this one's for you.

For more NFL rankings, deep dives, and weekly podcast episodes, subscribe below, follow The Deep Drop Back on X, and listen to the Adam's +1 Podcast on Spotify.

In this episode we kick things off with trivia before diving into the biggest takeaways from the NFL schedule release, prime-time matchups, toughest stretches, and games we already have circled.

Then we shift over to the NBA to break down what is happening in the hoops world.

Powered by The Deep Drop Back — smarter football conversations, every week.

Adam and Andrew are back with a lighter offseason episode, mixing in trivia with some of the most interesting storylines around the league right now.

We hit the latest NFL Draft buzz, react to a wild Jalen Hurts story, and break down a weird one involving Puka Nacua. Plus — could Kirk Cousins actually land with the Raiders?

We also close things out with some college hoops talk as the season wraps up.

A little bit of everything in this one — fun, fast-paced, and still tapping into the biggest conversations in football.

The guys run through Friday 5 NFL Thoughts, hit the Mahomes contract, debate whether the Bears could be Indiana-bound, and discuss three offseason trades we’d love to see.

This episode is powered by The Deep Drop Back — your home for honest NFL analysis, deep dives, and sharper football conversations.

From there, Andrew dives deep into his homework, breaking down the Rams defense like it’s midterms. What changed? Why Quinton Lake matters. How explosive play rate actually works. And why a unit that was elite early suddenly cooled off — with all the EPA, DVOA, and success rate context you need to sound smarter than your group chat.

When things get dicey, it’s time for “Drew to the Rescue”, before Andrew unloads his full Wildcard Weekend card, game by game, side by side, total by total.

🔥 Top Plays This Week:

• Packers -1.5 (or ML)

• Eagles -6

• Texans/Steelers UNDER 38.5

Plus value spots on the Chargers, Rams, Jaguars, and a playoff under you’ll want to sweat. We even sneak in a college best bet with Oregon getting points.

Numbers, narratives, and no mercy — let’s make the books uncomfortable. 🎯

Then it’s a rapid-fire blitz through Eck’s Top 5 Best Bets of the week:

KC -3.5, Colts -4.5, Patriots -7.5, Eagles -7, and 49ers/Browns Under 36.5.

From there, Drew rolls through the rest of his card, college locks, and a few wild cards “receiving votes.”

And to close it out? A very on-brand debate about the true Thanksgiving Day GOAT food.

Another week, another heater. Let’s roll.

Themes:

• Motivation is a spark — repetition is the steel

• Identity is forged, not declared

• The invisible work becomes the future spotlight

• Your future self is already watching

Quote of the episode:

“Build quietly. Arrive loudly.”

If you’re grinding behind the scenes — hit play.

You’re not alone in the dark.

In the featured game discussion, they dive into Giants vs. Eagles — is it officially danger time in Philly? And are the Giants quietly turning a corner? Adam also spotlights Seahawks vs. Jaguars as the ultimate “get right vs. let down” matchup.

Finally, Drew unveils his full betting card for Week 7 — highlighted by Bengals +5.5 on Thursday night, a potential 2-unit play on the Broncos, and a college slate featuring Arkansas, Oklahoma, and Georgia.

If you’re looking for smart betting talk, detailed stat breakdowns, and a little casual banter along the way, this is your spot.

What unfolds is an honest, insightful dialogue about identity, fear, ambition, and the trade-offs we often make—knowingly or not—in pursuit of our goals. Arielle brings her signature depth and clarity, offering both personal anecdotes and coaching wisdom that challenge the way we define success and the role control plays in achieving it.

Whether you’re a high performer, a coach, or just someone navigating your own growth journey, this conversation will leave you reflecting deeply on what you’re really after—and what might be holding you back.

After listening to the national media, local media, and even friends discuss their Top 5 quarterbacks in the NFL, something became clear to me…I disagreed with most of them. So, I asked myself, why not make my own?

This season, each week, I will be ranking the top 5 quarterbacks in the NFL based on their performance. One bad week may not play a top guy out of their spot, but if there are other quarterbacks consistently playing at a higher level week to week, then updates to the list will be made.

This episode covers the top 5 quarterbacks following the first five weeks of the season. To be clear, this is not a lifetime achievement award, this is based on where they rank based on their play this season alone.

After listening to the national media, local media, and even friends discuss their Top 5 quarterbacks in the NFL, something became clear to me…I disagreed with most of them. So, I asked myself, why not make my own?

This season, each week, I will be ranking the top 5 quarterbacks in the NFL based on their performance. One bad week may not play a top guy out of their spot, but if there are other quarterbacks consistently playing at a higher level week to week, then updates to the list will be made.

This episode covers the top 5 quarterbacks after the first two weeks on the season. To be clear, this is not a lifetime achievement award, this is based on where they rank based on their play this season alone.

During this episode, we discuss Dylan’s fascinating story from struggling to pay rent with a credit card to developing successful businesses. We also dive into several topics related to marketing, writing code, and the challenges of running a business.

See below for a few topics discussed during the podcast:

-Tazh’s positive energy

-Tazh’s fitness and daily routine

-The importance empathy plays in leadership

-Tazh’s business ventures

-Movies & Music

Then it's time to turn the page to the NBA Draft. The guys predict how the top five picks could unfold, identify a few potential sleepers, and discuss which prospects could surprise everyone.

To close the show, the conversation shifts to the NFL. Adam reads Joe Burrow's latest comments and the guys discuss what they reveal about Cincinnati's mindset heading into the season. They also dive into the Vikings' quarterback battle and ask the big question: is there a legitimate competition, or is the outcome already decided?

Topics:

• NBA Finals reaction
• Knicks vs. Spurs breakdown
• Late-game coaching decisions
• 2026 NBA Draft preview
• Top 5 predictions & sleepers
• Joe Burrow's offseason comments
• Vikings QB competition

Follow The Deep Drop Back for weekly NFL rankings, analysis, and every episode of Adam's +1.

We kick things off with trivia before diving into the NBA Playoffs finally returning and what actually matters early on. Then we hit what’s been annoying me lately — from streaming chaos to the never-ending tanking conversation.

Plus: a quick Masters minute, and we close with real NFL buzz — AJ Brown trade rumors, Dexter Lawrence talk, and whether Maxx Crosby could actually be on the move.

Short, sharp, and loaded — let’s get into it.

We open with Andrew putting Adam on the spot: how should the NBA address tanking, and is there a realistic fix? From there, we dive into the growing conversation around losing players’ media availability after the Super Bowl, the mental health implications, and whether the current model still makes sense in today’s social-media-driven world.

The episode continues with a breakdown of 2026 NFL strength of schedule winners and losers, and why schedule difficulty can be the difference between a division title and staying home in January. We close with a deep dive into one of the most important schematic trends in football — the continued shift toward under-center offense, motion, and formation variety, and why this evolution is reshaping roster construction across the league.

This episode is powered by The Deep Drop Back — your home for smart NFL analysis, deep dives, and sharper football conversations.

Be sure to subscribe, join the community, and take the deep drop back… because football is better when we’re all learning.

They kick things off with some laid-back banter before unpacking their NFL trade deadline reactions — who made the smartest moves, who stood pat, and which teams just might have shifted their postseason fate.

In Segment One, Adam updates Drew’s impressive run: a 4-2 week pushes him to 20-13 overall (61%) and up 6.5 units, while his college slate sits at a steady 13-7-1 (65%).

Then in Segment Two, the guys spotlight two fascinating matchups from last weekend:

• Andrew: Panthers @ Packers — Are the Packers quietly one of the NFC’s most balanced teams? With top-10 DVOA on both sides of the ball, Jordan Love ranks among the league’s top-three in CPOE+EPA and success rate, while Green Bay’s pass protection and defensive metrics hint at legitimate staying power.
• Adam: Vikings @ Lions — Minnesota shocks Detroit coming off a bye as J.J. McCarthy delivers clutch throws in a statement win. Was Brian Flores due for a defensive gem against Jared Goff? And what does this mean for the evolving NFC North race?

Finally, Andrew rolls through his Top 5 NFL bets of the week:

• Packers -2.5 vs Eagles (80%)
• Dolphins +9.5 vs Bills (83%)
• Jets +2 vs Browns (70%)
• Chargers -3 vs Steelers (70%)
• Saints +5.5 @ Panthers (63%)

Plus, he shares the rest of his board with leans on Falcons-Germany, Bucs-Pats, Texans-Jags, Commanders-Lions, and a loaded college card featuring Missouri +7 vs A&M, Georgia -9.5 @ Miss State, and Oregon -6.5 @ Iowa.

Sharp analysis, smart stats, and plenty of laughs — Eck’s Best Bets keeps rolling strong into the heart of the season.

This isn’t just about cardio. It’s about discipline, growth, and elevating the standard in every part of life.

Then, Drew runs through his full board for Week 6 — from Giants-Eagles on Thursday night to Lions-Chiefs and everything in between — with Adam guiding the conversation on what’s driving each pick. They also touch on the college slate with UCLA, FSU, and Texas all in focus.

If you’re tracking bets or just love talking football, this episode is packed with insights, laughs, and plenty of bold calls.

It’s an honest look at balance, ambition, and the mindset behind chasing excellence — both on and off the stage.

A milestone episode filled with family, business insights, and inspiration for anyone trying to “do it all.”

Plenty of tough questions, a few laughs, and no sugarcoating.

In Episode 88 of Adam’s +1, we hit all nine games that shook opening weekend: Chargers-Chiefs, Bengals-Browns, Titans-Broncos, Falcons-Bucs, 49ers-Seahawks, Rams-Texans, Lions-Packers, Ravens-Bills, and Vikings-Bears.

Quick reactions, key moments, and what it all means for the season ahead.

Adam also gives his take on how the Chicago Bears should handle finding the right candidate for head coach this off-season.

Andrew also gives his prediction on how far Sam Darnold can take the Vikings this season.

After listening to the national media, local media, and even friends discuss their Top 5 quarterbacks in the NFL, something became clear to me…I disagreed with most of them. So, I asked myself, why not make my own?

This season, each week, I will be ranking the Top 5 quarterbacks in the NFL based on their performance. One bad week may not play a top guy out of their spot, but if there are other quarterbacks consistently playing at a higher level week to week, then updates to the list will be made.

This episode covers the top 5 quarterbacks heading into this season. To be clear, this is not a lifetime achievement award, this is based on where they are at heading into this season alone.

In this episode, Katie defines what a speech pathologist is, and we talk about her social media account: Katie’s Kulture, Katie’s hobbies, and our relationship.

In this episode, Dennis tells us what it was like growing up near Detroit, the life of a husband and a girl dad, and we dive deep into his bodybuilding journey.

During this episode, Nico lays out the origin story of Nico’s Landscaping. We also discuss his path into real estate investing.

In this episode, Kelly and I get into the definition of a trauma counselor (and how it differs), challenges people face to accessing mental health care, her dissertation research on brainspotting and EMDR techniques for PTSD treatment, and she gives a sneak peek at the book she’s currently writing.

Take a deep breath in… hold it… and push play!

Then we shift to the hardwood and recap the NBA Conference Finals before looking ahead to an unexpected NBA Finals matchup between the Spurs and Knicks. We discuss key storylines, matchup advantages, X-factors, and make our predictions for who will take home the championship.

Topics:

• NFL trades and roster-building strategies
• What makes a successful front office?
• NBA Conference Finals recap
• Spurs vs. Knicks NBA Finals preview
• Championship predictions and key matchups

Powered by The Deep Drop Back.

We start with some news regarding Mike Tomlin's future before diving headfirst into Luke’s raw, emotional reaction to that game. From halftime doubt to the exact moment belief kicked in, nothing is held back.

In this episode:

• Luke’s honest reaction to the Bears’ wild comeback
• What halftime really felt like — hope or heartbreak?
• The exact moment it hit: “Oh man… we have a shot.”
• What this game will be remembered for years from now
• Do the Bears now have the upper hand in the rivalry?
• Early thoughts and preview of the Rams matchup

A legendary night, a rivalry shaken, and a playoff run still alive. Buckle up. 🎙️🏈

We talk ceiling without Micah, Matt LaFleur’s long-term security, whether Jeff Hafley is sticking around or headed for a bigger job, and why this matchup feels equal parts comfortable and terrifying for Green Bay (and Chicago).

Is this still a little-brother situation—or has the rivalry officially arrived? How painful would a playoff loss to Chicago actually be? And if things go sideways, what’s the headline the next morning?

Aaron gives his three keys to a Packers win, we debate how the Bears could pull it out, and we lock in official predictions.

Wildcard stakes. Historic rivalry. Friendship temporarily suspended.

Let’s get into it. 🏈🎙️

In this episode, we explore Strozay’s journey in rap, the Arkansas rap scene, and preview his new studio album, “Love Koma” — an album that will indeed make you want to listen more and more and more.

We walk through each stage:

1. Uninformed Optimism – the excitement of starting something new.
2. Informed Pessimism – when the reality of the challenge sets in.
3. Valley of Despair – the toughest stretch where most people quit.
4. Informed Optimism – renewed confidence with experience and perspective.
5. Mastery – the stage where skill, consistency, and wisdom align.

Anthony not only explains these stages but also shares real-world examples of how they show up in everyday life, making the concepts both relatable and actionable.

If you’ve ever started something new—whether in fitness, career, or self-improvement—this episode will help you recognize where you are in the process and how to keep pushing toward mastery.

• What’s one big lesson I learned while serving in the military?

• Who’s my favorite artist to listen to right now?

• How do I balance a full-time career, hard training, and content without burning out?

• What’s a belief I had in my early 20s that I completely changed my mind on?

• If you could only train with one famous athlete or celebrity for 30 days, who are you picking and what’s your goal with them?

Drop your questions for the next mailbag — DM me on Instagram- @Adam.Myles.Hawkins.

In this episode, Kalenna defines what it means to be a life coach and how that differs from therapy. We also discuss the hurdles Kalenna faced starting up her coaching business.

Kalenna is a Certified Life Coach through IGC, an International Coaching Federation accredited program. If you or anyone you know is looking to make improvements to your mindset or confidence, you can reach out to her through the following link for a discovery call- https://paperbell.me/kalenna-kaske.

In Segment One, Adam highlights just how hot Andrew (@SurgicalSharp) is right now: coming off a 5–1 NFL week, 9–5 overall (+2.4 units), pushing him to 25–14 (64%) on the season and 14–9-1 (61%) in college. The heater is officially on.

In Segment Two, the guys break down their “Pick One” matchups of the week:

• Andrew (@SurgicalSharp): Bills @ Dolphins — deep dive into Buffalo’s DVOA profile, EPA/SR metrics, and Josh Allen’s efficiency trends.

• Adam: Eagles @ Packers — why Green Bay’s top-10 DVOA rankings clash with their scoring drought at Lambeau, and whether Jordan Love is truly the issue in their losses.

In Segment Three, Andrew (@SurgicalSharp) unloads his full card, including his Top 5 plays:

• Rams -3 vs Seahawks (74%)

• Browns +7.5 vs Ravens (77%)

• Jags +3 vs Chargers (68%)

• Texans/Titans Under 37.5 (68%)

• Bills -5.5 vs Bucs (59%)

Plus a full slate of “others receiving votes,” teaser considerations, and college football picks — including Louisville -2.5, IU -29.5, UF +14.5, Duke -4, TCU +4.5, and a spicy lean on USC +19.5.

Andrew’s heating up. The numbers are sharp. The card is loaded. You can follow him on X @SurgicalSharp.

We kick things off with a casual warm-up before Adam updates Drew’s season record: 34–20 overall and 24–16-1 in college, even after a rare 2–3 stumble last week. (Still elite. Still printing.)

Then Andrew goes full professor mode breaking down Vikings @ Seahawks—Has Seattle officially been “found out”? Why did their elite EPA run suddenly fall off a cliff? And are the Vikings secretly one of the five worst franchises to be going forward? Aging defense, no QB, no high picks… yikes.

Finally, Andrew unleashes all of his Week 14 bets, including a spicy Top 5:

• Lions -3 vs Cowboys

• Vikings -2 vs Commanders

• Packers -6.5 vs Bears

• Titans/Browns Under 33.5

• Saints +8.5 at Bucs

Plus candidates fighting for the Top 5, others receiving votes, and his Top College Plays, including Boise, Ohio State, and Duke.

If you love data, degeneracy, and debate… this one’s loaded.

We kick things off with a laid-back opener as Adam and Drew catch up and ease into the slate. From there, Adam recaps Drew’s red-hot run: sitting at 38–21 overall (64%) after a 4–1 week, plus up 5 units over the last month. College picks remain strong too at 26–17–1 (60%). Adam even gets a shoutout for pushing the Saints pick into last week’s top five.

In the first breakdown segment, Andrew leads off with Saints @ Bucs, unpacking the big questions around Tampa’s struggling offense—injuries, efficiency issues, and Baker Mayfield’s bottom-half metrics across the board. He digs into DVOA, EPA, and success-rate concerns while also highlighting the Bucs’ run-stopping defense versus their less reliable pass coverage. Adam counters with his look at Bears @ Packers, exploring the game’s defining moments, Jordan Love’s rising MVP chatter, and what Ben Johnson’s influence could mean for DJ Moore.

Next up is Drew to the Rescue, where Adam throws two Pick ’Em dilemmas at Andrew: Atlanta @ Tampa and Green Bay @ Denver—and Drew sorts out the angles with his usual clarity.

To close, Andrew runs through all of his Week 15 bets, capping things with this week’s Top 5 Best Bets:

• Chiefs -5.5 vs Chargers (75%)
• Rams -6 vs Lions (73%)
• Packers -2.5 @ Broncos (71%)
• Jets +13.5 @ Jaguars (55%)
• Bills -1.5 @ Patriots (63%)

Packed with smart analysis, updated metrics, and confident picks, Episode 121 delivers everything you need to prep your Week 15 card. Tune in and bet alongside Eck.

We also dive into why the NFL Combine isn’t dying — it’s evolving. Elite prospects pushing back and the real power moves happening behind the scenes in Indy.

Plus:

• Pre-free agency win totals that stand out
• Sean Payton handing play-calling duties to Davis Webb
• The NFL Competition Committee eyeing expanded replay review

Be sure to follow this podcast and subscribe to TheDeepDropBack.com for our weekly newsletter.

Take the deep drop back.

Football is better when we're learning together.

Then it’s award season. We give our picks for NFL Regular Season MVP and Coach of the Year, including who deserves it, who’s getting too much hype, and who’s getting robbed. Plus, we react to the latest coaching hirings and vacancies around the league — bad fits, good fits, panic moves, and the hires that already feel like future press conference apologies.

After listening to the national media, local media, and even friends discuss their Top 5 quarterbacks in the NFL, something became clear to me…I disagreed with most of them. So, I asked myself, why not make my own?

This season, each week, I will be ranking the top 5 quarterbacks in the NFL based on their performance. One bad week may not play a top guy out of their spot, but if there are other quarterbacks consistently playing at a higher level week to week, then updates to the list will be made.

This episode covers the top 5 quarterbacks following the first four weeks of the season. To be clear, this is not a lifetime achievement award, this is based on where they rank based on their play this season alone.

We also rank the top three players at each position for fantasy football down the stretch of this 2024 season!

After listening to the national media, local media, and even friends discuss their Top 5 quarterbacks in the NFL, something became clear to me…I disagreed with most of them. So, I asked myself, why not make my own?

This season, each week, I will be ranking the top 5 quarterbacks in the NFL based on their performance. One bad week may not play a top guy out of their spot, but if there are other quarterbacks consistently playing at a higher level week to week, then updates to the list will be made.

This episode covers the top 5 quarterbacks after the first three weeks on the season. To be clear, this is not a lifetime achievement award, this is based on where they rank based on their play this season alone.

After listening to the national media, local media, and even friends discuss their Top 5 quarterbacks in the NFL, something became clear to me…I disagreed with most of them. So, I asked myself, why not make my own?

This season, each week, I will be ranking the top 5 quarterbacks in the NFL based on their performance. One bad week may not play a top guy out of their spot, but if there are other quarterbacks consistently playing at a higher level week to week, then updates to the list will be made.

This episode covers the top 5 quarterbacks heading into this season. To be clear, this is not a lifetime achievement award, this is based on where they rank based on their play this season alone.

-Hosting a sports podcast

-Growing up Muslim in America

-The impact Kobe Bryant had on Sab’s mindset

-Sabree’s perseverance throughout med-school and residence

-Sabree’s vision for his personal and professional life

-Favorite music and movies 🎵 🎥 🍿

1. Jenna’s journey in fitness and personal training

2. How does she balance her time as a mother of two, fitness, clients, and friendships?

3. What are the common challenges she sees with her clients? How does she help them overcome these?

4. Top nutrition mistakes Jenna sees and her tips to avoid them

We start in the NFL trenches breaking down:

• The most overrated QB in the league

• Which QBs fans totally misjudge when it comes to wins vs. actual play

• Stats everyone loves that are quietly misleading

• The most valuable non-QB in football

• A playoff matchup you never want to see

• The player no scheme can replace

• My most stubborn NFL take (yes, I’m dying on this hill)

• Which modern offensive trend is on borrowed time

• Who’s truly clutch when it matters

• And which front office is running circles around the league

Then we pivot to the gym 💪:

• The biggest mistake beginners make when they start lifting

• A training principle I’ll never abandon

• The most underrated movement for building real muscle

And we close with Madden 🎮:

• The most broken play in the game

• How realistic Madden actually is (or isn’t)

• What really matters most: scheme, stick skills, or roster

• How to stay sane when Madden does… Madden things

• And the most satisfying way to win a game

Sports, lifting, gaming, and strong opinions — Episode 127 is loaded. If you would like your questions answered on the next mail bag episode, send it to Adam on his Instagram or Youtube account.

Hit play and let’s get into it.

After listening to the national media, local media, and even friends discuss their Top 5 quarterbacks in the NFL, something became clear to me…I disagreed with most of them. So, I asked myself, why not make my own?

This season, each week, I will be ranking the top 5 quarterbacks in the NFL based on their performance. One bad week may not play a top guy out of their spot, but if there are other quarterbacks consistently playing at a higher level week to week, then updates to the list will be made.

This episode covers the top 5 quarterbacks after the first three weeks on the season. To be clear, this is not a lifetime achievement award, this is based on where they rank based on their play this season alone.

The guys kick things off with some NFL trivia to get things rolling before diving into a draft buzz update, breaking down rising names and what teams may be thinking as we get closer to draft season.

From there, Adam and Andrew react to recent NFL rule changes, including the potential expansion of trading draft picks from 3 years out to 5 years and the new ability to declare an onside kick at any time. The two discuss whether the league needs to rethink the onside kick entirely — and what a better alternative could look like.

To close things out, they shift gears and talk NCAA Hoops, sharing thoughts as the tournament unfolds.

This episode is powered by The Deep Drop Back — your home for smart NFL analysis, deep dives, and sharper football conversations.

Be sure to subscribe, join the community, and take the deep drop back… because football is better when we’re all learning.

This episode kicks off with NFL trivia before Adam and Andrew dive into their biggest reactions from the draft. The guys break down why the Rams taking Simpson stood out, what the Cardinals’ decision to take J. Love means moving forward, and what caught their attention with the Jaguars and 49ers.

From team-building philosophy to immediate impact picks, this is a quick-hit NFL conversation packed with reactions, opinions, and football talk from every angle.

Powered by The Deep Drop Back — your home for smart NFL analysis, deep dives, and sharper football conversations.

The episode opens with Andrew’s reaction to Kyler Murray joining the Minnesota Vikings and what it means for the team’s ceiling heading into the 2026 season. The guys discuss whether Minnesota is a true contender and how the move impacts the NFC landscape.

Adam and Andrew then react to key moves around the league with their “Major, Minor, or Meh” segment, including:

• Justin Fields to the Kansas City Chiefs • Jaylen Waddle to the Denver Broncos • Other notable offseason storylines

To close things out, the guys walk through a live NCAA Tournament bracket, making picks in real time and breaking down potential upsets.

This episode is powered by The Deep Drop Back — your home for smart NFL analysis, deep dives, and sharper football conversations.

Be sure to subscribe, join the community, and take the deep drop back… because football is better when we’re all learning.

Is Shedeur Sanders proving that practice really does make perfect? Then, Adam and Andrew go team by team through the AFC South and NFC West, breaking down the biggest storylines, major questions, and division races surrounding the Colts, Jaguars, Titans, Texans, Rams, 49ers, Seahawks, and Cardinals.

Who takes each division—and which teams will finish over or under their projected win totals?

Using Adam’s Top 20 Non-QB Dynasty Players for the Next 5 Years, the two dive into the rankings, debate a few controversial placements, and highlight the players best positioned to dominate fantasy football over the rest of the decade.

They also identify several dark horse dynasty players who could quickly climb into the elite tier.

To wrap things up, Connor shares a few rookie draft value targets from the incoming class — prospects dynasty managers should keep an eye on before their draft stock rises.

If you play dynasty fantasy football, this episode is all about long-term roster building, identifying future stars, and finding value before the market catches up.

This episode is powered by The Deep Drop Back — your home for smart NFL analysis, deep dives, and sharper football conversations!

We open with a candid convo on the best and worst NFL coaching vacancies, because nothing says January like teams already panicking about the future.

Then it’s accountability time 📊

Drew’s overall record sits at 48–33 (59%), despite a rough 1–2 week, while college picks remain rock solid at 30–20–1 (60%).

From there, we dive into every playoff matchup from last week — blown leads, failed 4th downs, brutal offensive performances, and defenses doing all the heavy lifting. Packers blowing leads, Bryce Young mistakes, Chargers disappearing, Stroud struggling, and the Eagles offense going missing… it’s all on the table.

🚨 Drew to the Rescue returns before Andrew lays out every bet for Divisional Round Weekend, including:

• Bills @ Broncos

• 49ers @ Seahawks

• Texans @ Pats

• Rams @ Bears

🔥 Top 3 Plays:

• Rams -3.5

• Texans/Pats UNDER 40.5

• Seahawks -7

🎓 College Best Bet:

• Miami +8.5 vs Indiana

Sharp numbers, honest reactions, and playoff football chaos — lock it in and let’s ride. 🏈💰

We cover the highs, the scares, the adjustments, and what this win means moving forward for Caleb, the offense, and the entire Bears momentum.

Listeners can drop their thoughts in the Spotify comments or DM Adam on Instagram for the next reaction episode.

We kick things off in Minnesota, where Kyler has officially been named the Vikings’ starting quarterback. What does the decision mean for the Vikings, and how confident should we be in Minnesota going into the season?

Then, we head to the NFC South for a full division breakdown. We go team-by-team through the Panthers, Buccaneers, Saints, and Falcons — breaking down what changed this offseason, where each roster stands, and how we see one of the NFL’s most intriguing divisions playing out.

On the rundown:

🏈 Vikings QB Competition — Kyler Named Starter 🏈 How confident are we in Minnesota? 🏈 Carolina Panthers 🏈 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 🏈 New Orleans Saints 🏈 Atlanta Falcons 🏈 NFC South predictions

Adam’s + 1 — powered by The Deep Drop Back.

Subscribe, join the community, and take the deep drop back.

Both Hawk and Andrew are riding with New England as underdogs, laying out their cases for why the Patriots can slow down Kenneth Walker, limit Jaxon Smith-Njigba, and force Sam Darnold into uncomfortable third downs. They also discuss how Mike Vrabel’s defensive game plan, Josh McDaniels’ offensive approach, and Drake Maye’s ability to avoid mistakes shape the overall game script.

The episode also features best player props, anytime touchdown picks, and MVP paths to cashing tickets on the biggest betting board of the year.

Patriots vs Seahawks. Picks. Props. MVP.

Let’s take the deep drop back.

For more Super Bowl coverage, betting breakdowns, and NFL analysis, head to TheDeepDropBack.com.

Hitting over 60% against the spread over an entire season is no joke—ride the heater into Week 18 and follow Andrew @SurgicalSharp on X for more.

In the first segment, Adam updates the scoreboard — Drew’s sitting at 16-11 overall (59%) and a sharp 13-5 in college (72%) after another solid week. From there, the guys dive into two headline matchups:

• Andrew: Browns @ Patriots — Are the Pats for real or just a product of the NFL’s easiest schedule? Can Drake Maye keep up elite efficiency (1st in CPOE + EPA)?
• Adam: 49ers @ Texans — Kyle Shanahan heartbreak, CMC held to 23 yards, and how Houston’s defense quietly turned into a top-five DVOA unit.

In the final segment, Andrew runs through his Top 5 NFL picks and college board for the week — featuring lines like:

🏈 Vikings +8.5 @ Lions, Texans -1.5 vs Broncos, Falcons +5.5 @ Pats, Giants +2.5 vs 49ers, Bears -3 @ Bengals, and more.

🎓 Plus college leans on Iowa State, UNLV, Minnesota, Cal, Georgia, Texas, FSU, and Kentucky.

Another data-driven, banter-filled ride through the weekend slate — sharp analysis, strong opinions, and plenty of laughs.

🎧 Adam’s + 1 | Eck’s Best Bets — Episode 109

Follow Drew on X → @SurgicalSharp

From there, Adam updates Drew’s betting record — now sitting at 13-9 overall (11-4 in college) — before diving into this week’s headline matchups. Drew spotlights Bucs @ Lions, breaking down Detroit’s surprisingly elite defense (2nd in DVOA) and what advanced stats like EPA and CPOE reveal about Baker Mayfield’s season. Adam counters with Giants @ Broncos, asking whether New York’s fight or Denver’s resilience is more sustainable — especially with a brutal stretch ahead for the Broncos.

Finally, Drew runs through his Week 8 Best Bets — from stinky underdogs like the Jets +6.5 at Cincinnati to bold favorites like the Broncos -3.5 vs Dallas. He also drops his college card, featuring sharp plays on Memphis, Auburn, LSU, and more.

🔥 NFL bets, sharp insights, advanced metrics, and just the right dose of banter — this is the best 45 minutes of football talk you’ll get all week.

🎙️ Follow @SurgicalSharp for live picks and updates.